SC House District 37 Prediction
This House race is one of the more important races on my radar, as it is my personal district. What I find interesting in this race is the renewed battle and controversy between Davenport and Parker.
Davenport held the seat for almost 22 years until Parker scored a victory in the 2008 GOP Primary. It was a land slide but as the democratic challenger, Eric Hayler, stated after the primary election, this was a referendum on School District Consolidation and not on Davenport.
In 2006, Parker lost the primary by a mere 9 votes, so this has always been a tight battle. In Boiling Springs, you either hate Parker or you love him. I guess you could say the same about Davenport.
Parker can be called to question on his stimulus support, as Gov. Mark Sanford called him and other legislatures out by name at the 2009 SCGOP convention. He can also be held accountable for campaigning on no new taxes, no targeted taxes, then turning around and supporting a cigarette tax hike. During his 2008 campaign, Parker told constituents he would not support “targeted” taxes because that would justify a tax on coke.
Davenport is the interesting case. He hasn’t campaigned much but most of his campaign signs read “Tea Party Approved”. Most people in the area tend to like Davenport more so than Parker.
Davenport’s disadvantage, he is running as a Constitution Party candidate after years of serving in the GOP. The question will be how many voters will go out and push the all “R” button or will they remember to vote for their old friend, Davenport on the Constitution ticket.
My biggest concern with Davenport is his enthusiasm and his past votes to use the government to ban items he knew nothing about. Has he changed in the last few years and did the Constitution Party look into this? Who knows.
Sources indicate that the Democratic candidate, Frazer, is polling in the high teens. Politically we don’t know much about Frazer, besides the fact she was a field organizer for the Obama campaign, according to Project Vote Smart.
According to Vote Smart, she wants to maintain the status of several tax rates in the state, but increase it on those high earners and also increase the alcohol, cigarette, and corporate tax rates. She doesn’t want state and local police to enforce federal immigration law.
For you gun enthusiasts, Frazer isn’t great either. She doesn’t want concealed weapons permits and she wants everyone licensed to own a gun.
You can read more at Project Vote Smart.
First of all, this is not an endorsement. Although everything appears to favor Parker’s re-election, I think Davenport will sneak in with the victory at 41%. Parker will finish 2nd at 39% and Frazer will bring in a little more than the strong D district percentage with 20%.