Comments on: Consultants Drop 4th Congressional Candidate

By: Why Did DHSG Drop Jeffery's Campaign | The Conservativist

Why Did DHSG Drop Jeffery's Campaign | The Conservativist — Wed, 29 Jul 2009 05:57:05 +0000

[...] learned July 1st that DHSG dropped Christina Jeffrey’s campaign for Congress. A month later we are still searching for the true reason and we will put [...]

By: Fort Liberty

Fort Liberty — Wed, 15 Jul 2009 04:34:28 +0000

Why are the independents non-factors? True conservatives do not hide behind party they, as Ralph Emerson put it, to go “where there is no path and leave a trail.” The independents are leaving a trail in the new “moderate” climate of the Republican party. Don’t count them out, they are some of the strongest voices in a split race.

By: Big Changes in 4th Congressional Primary | The Conservativist

Big Changes in 4th Congressional Primary | The Conservativist — Thu, 09 Jul 2009 14:40:49 +0000

[...] may be the rumors that we have been hearing that we mentioned the other day with Jeffery’s campaign. We’ll have to wait and [...]

By: Cato the Youngest

Cato the Youngest — Tue, 07 Jul 2009 17:55:12 +0000

Going by conventional wisdom, Matt is certainly correct. The numbers are against the three outsider candidates, but races are not won on numbers alone — by a poll taken two months before the Cole-Jeffrey primary, he should have won 85%-15%. This race will depend heavily on the candidates personally, by their message and their level of commitment to the campaign. Especially in this political climate, I think voters will be paying very close attention to those things.

By: Matt

Matt — Mon, 06 Jul 2009 15:59:12 +0000

Cato makes some good points about Jeffrey coming within 120 voters of beating Derham Cole in the primary. I disagree that her national recognition, to the extent that it exists (and regardless of whether the whole “being considered for U.S House historian dust-up” is a positive or negative), is signigicant for her chances in the 4th CD race. The fact is that she is in a tough position because she (along with Jim Lee) are the odd-ones out in a six-person field. David Thomas and Trey Gowdy come in to the primary with the local name recognition already, and Andrew Smart comes in with the money already to be competative. Her chances of being the “Spartanburg candidate” in the race were shattered when Trey Gowdy got in to this.

This race with be Inglis vs. Gowdy in Spartanburg, Inglis vs. Thomas in Greenville, Smart is the X-factor, Lee (and independent Mahler) are the Non-factors, and Jeffrey is most likely a Non-factor. The only thing she has going for her is that the field is big enough that the primary electorate could be fractured four or five different ways, people who may otherwise have voted for Inglis will choose not to because they have so many other options to choose from, and because of this there is no true runaway front-runner throughout much of the primary. However, this is also what Gowdy, Thomas and Smart have going for them in their favor. She will have a difficult time coming in at least second to get into the runoff with Inglis.